named the discomfort. asked "is this it?"
here's what you haven't done. the actual fucking math.
80,000 hours. that's your entire career. every working hour from age 22 to retirement.
here's where i lied. you don't have 80,000 hours anymore. ai is eating the timeline from both ends. ai just stole 20,000 of your hours.
mid level analysis? ai does it better. the 40 year career is becoming a 25 year career.
every hour spent unconsciously is an hour you can't get back.
your age minus 22. multiply by 2,000. that's how many career hours you've already spent. minus that by 80K.
no stress though. i built you a calculator.
open it, enter your age, hit submit.
i know a product manager who's been at microsoft twelve years. same company. but she's had five different careers within it. consumer products to enterprise. hardware to software. ic to leadership. each transition deliberate.
i know another pm who's switched companies six times in twelve years. new logo on the email signature. same exact job. same exact problems. same exact skills.
when intention is zero, impact is zero.
doesn't matter if you're at a startup or microsoft. doesn't matter if it's your vision or satya's.
if you're not conscious about what you're building with your hours, you're just burning them. here's the framework that actually matters:
use the calculator. get the number.** that's your constraint. everything else is negotiable.
capabilities: what can you do now? problems solved: what specific challenges can you handle? impact created: what exists because of your hours?
learning hours: time spent acquiring new capabilities execution hours: time spent applying existing capabilities waste hours: time spent neither learning nor creating impact
not your next job. your next 10,000 hours. what capabilities will you build? what problems will you solve? what impact will you create?
some of you are exactly where you should be, building exactly what you intended. the math just confirms you're on track. keep going. but now you know the actual constraint.
others just realized they've been sleepwalking through thousands of hours. busy without building. moving without progressing.
most of you will do this calculation and feel sick. like you just discovered you've been playing poker with your retirement fund.
that discomfort? that's clarity arriving.
that panic about wasted time? that's your brain finally understanding the actual game you're playing.
what now? nothing. today, you just sit with it. today you just need to know your number. because until you understand the constraint, every career decision you make is based on a delusion. the delusion that that you can afford another five years in the wrong place or in the wrong mindset in your current org.
but tonight, sit with your number. feel the weight of hours already spent.
tomorrow, we'll figure out what the fuck to do about it.